empty
02.11.2020 12:13 PM
Pressure arises: oil rapidly cuts prices

This image is no longer relevant

Crude oil prices continued its negative dynamics, which has not been reversed for quite a long time. The second month of autumn was a failure for the oil products market. In October, Brent lost a total of 8.5% of its previous price, while WTI generally fell by 11%. As experts say, this is still far from the limit of the fall, since the hydrocarbon industry is now in a deep crisis.

The sharp decline in the cost of crude oil, which unexpectedly happened last month, occurred mainly against the background of serious concerns among market participants about demand, as well as the introduction of strict quarantine measures and lockdowns in most European countries. Last week, France and Germany have already decided on the necessity of the closure of the economy and the suspension of the main enterprises to cope with the situation.

The UK government, on the other hand, introduced a lighter version of the self-isolation regime starting November 5 for a period of four weeks. Whether it will be possible to cope with the rapid spread of coronavirus infection in this way is unclear. However, the fact that the economies of states will experience tremendous pressure is clear to everyone. This pressure will also affect the demand for crude oil, which in turn will negatively affect the black gold market as a whole.

Experts point out that the average level of crude oil consumption in Germany, France, and the UK is about 6 million barrels per day, which corresponds to about 6% of all world consumption, and this is a fairly large figure. Restrictive quarantine measures in these countries will indicate significant damage and a drop in demand for raw materials. And if other states, where the case of COVID-19 is no less complex, gradually begin to join the lockdown, then the crisis in the oil market will be even more global and deeper, and the withdrawal from it will be more difficult and longer.

The increase in the production of black gold in several countries also adds pressure and concerns among investors. Libya has already increased its production to 800,000 barrels per day and plans to bring this figure to 1.3 million barrels per day by the beginning of next year. Recall that at the beginning of the fall of this year, Libya's production amounted to approximately 100,000 barrels per day. The country also intends to raise its production level to 1.6 million barrels per day over the next year. The same level back in 2011 before the civil war. However, now is not the best time for such a build-up, since there is already enough negativity on the global hydrocarbon market. An oversupply will put a lot of pressure on the price level, which will inevitably go down.

In addition, the US presidential election creates another constraint. According to analysts, if Joe Biden wins, we should expect an increased portion of pressure on the oil market, since he is going to lift sanctions on Iran, which means that the supply of raw materials to the world market will grow by another 1.5 or 2 million barrels per day.

The statistics on the number of oil production facilities in the US are also not encouraging. For the sixth time in a row, capacity growth was recorded last Friday. Thus, the total number of installations for the extraction of raw materials amounted to 221 units, which is 10 units more than the previous figure. Of course, this cannot but worry investors who are concerned about such a rapid pace of production growth.

The price of futures contracts for Brent crude oil for delivery in January on the trading floor in London sank 3.27% or $1.24, which sent it to $36.70 per barrel. Friday's trading also ended in a negative zone with a drop of 0.8% or $0.32. In addition, the December contract came to an end on Friday, which also eventually decreased its value by 0.5% or $0.19.

The price of futures contracts for WTI crude oil for delivery in December on the electronic trading platform in New York also declined 3.66% or $1.31, which sent it to $34.48 per barrel. The previous trading ended in the red by 1.1% or $0.38, which caused contracts to fall to the lowest value in the last five months.

Maria Shablon,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Maria Shablon
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

US Market News Digest for August 29

The US stock market continues to gain ground thanks to the upward revision of second-quarter GDP from 3% to 3.3%, which supports investor optimism. The S&P 500 reached a historic

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:48 2025-08-29 UTC+2

Dollar: Calm Before PCE—and Scenarios for "After"

The market has entered a wait-and-see mode. The dollar index is drifting around 98.0 after fluctuations in Treasury yields. On Wednesday, the 10-year yield rose during the day, then fell

Anna Zotova 00:37 2025-08-29 UTC+2

Bitcoin trails Ethereum but doesn't give up: most important yet to come. S&P 500 stays afloat

The first cryptocurrency continues to face challenges, largely due to selling pressure. Nevertheless, BTC is striving to prevent Ethereum from firmly taking the lead. The complex situation with the Federal

Larisa Kolesnikova 11:51 2025-08-28 UTC+2

Bitcoin under pressure: markets react to rising liquidations and new regulatory plans

Bitcoin's recent price drop has coincided with a rise in funding rates and a decline in traders' use of leverage on futures markets. According to Glassnode analysts, the potential

Natalia Andreeva 15:30 2025-08-27 UTC+2

US Market News Digest for August 27

The S&P 500 is approaching a new record amid a stable economy and expectations of Fed rate cuts. Investors are disregarding political tensions, including President Trump's efforts to replace FOMC

Ekaterina Kiseleva 13:25 2025-08-27 UTC+2

AT&T's multi-billion dollar deal sparks ripple effect across Wall Street

EchoStar shares soared after AT&T announced the purchase of licenses for $23 billion. The dollar is under pressure amid expectations of a rate cut. AMD shares rose on the back

09:56 2025-08-27 UTC+2

AT&T Spends Billions — and Sets Wall Street Spin-Off

EchoStar Shares Jump After AT&T Says It Will Buy $23 Billion in Licenses Dollar Under Pressure on Rate Cut Speculation AMD Shares Rise on Upbeat Truist Securities Outlook Eli Lilly

Thomas Frank 09:08 2025-08-27 UTC+2

Bitcoin vs. Ethereum: market swings. S&P 500 forecasts growth

Curiously, Ethereum has been extending a rally while Bitcoin has been losing ground in parallel. This has increased market volatility. Now, the second-largest cryptocurrency is in the spotlight for investors

Larisa Kolesnikova 09:46 2025-08-26 UTC+2

Crisis in a cup: Keurig Dr Pepper deal with JDE Peet's turns bitter for investors

Keurig Dr Pepper shares fall after deal to buy Dutch JDE Peet's. Furniture retailers fall amid Trump threat to investigate tariffs. Major brokerages forecast 25 basis point Fed rate

Thomas Frank 09:17 2025-08-26 UTC+2

Investor sentiment sours as Keurig Dr Pepper acquires JDE Peet's

Shares of Keurig Dr Pepper fell after the company announced its purchase of JDE Peet's, a Dutch firm. Shares of furniture retailers are declining amid Trump's threat to launch

09:11 2025-08-26 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.