empty
25.01.2024 08:51 AM
Trading plan for EUR/USD and GBP/USD on January 25

Preliminary estimates of business activity indices in the eurozone showed growth, but did not impress market players. On the one hand, the Manufacturing PMI jumped from 44.4 points to 46.6 points, slightly higher than the expected 45.0 points. On the other hand, Service PMI fell from 48.8 points to 48.4 points, instead of increasing to 49.4 points. The Composite PMI rose from 47.6 points to 47.9 points, slightly below the forecast of 48.0 points.

Euro halted movement, but it grew later due to good estimates on business activity indices in the UK. Manufacturing PMI jumped from 46.2 points to 47.3 points, while Service PMI grew from 53.4 points to 53.8 points. The Composite PMI increased from 52.1 points to 52.5 points.

However, after the opening of the US trading session, everything returned to the previous values. Dollar demand surged because Manufacturing PMI in the US jumped to 50.3 points instead of decreasing from 47.9 points to 47.2 points. Service PMI also grew from 51.4 points to 52.9 points, as opposed to a decrease to 51.0 points. The Composite PMI increased from 50.9 points to 52.3 points.

The jobless claims report coming out from the US today will not have any impact on the market's direction regardless of how they turn out. Investors will look more at the outcome of the ECB meeting, waiting for the confirmation of Christine Lagarde's words last week that the first interest rate cut will take place in the summer. If that happens, euro will certainly plummet.

This image is no longer relevant

EUR/USD continues to trade within the range of 1.0850/1.0900. However, market volatility may increase, which will end the stagnation.

This image is no longer relevant

GBP/USD still moves within the range of 1.2600/1.2800, consistently trying to break the boundaries. At this time, it tests the upper area of the flat, showing special interest in the middle level of 1.2700. If the price stabilizes below the middle level, the pair will change its direction and test the lower area of the flat.

Mark Bom,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

How to Trade the GBP/USD Pair on July 4? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Thursday's Trades 1H Chart of GBP/USD On Thursday, the GBP/USD pair once again plummeted, but this time the drop in the British currency lasted only five minutes

Paolo Greco 07:16 2025-07-04 UTC+2

How to Trade the EUR/USD Pair on July 4? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Thursday's Trades 1H Chart of EUR/USD The EUR/USD currency pair traded throughout Thursday, both before and after the publication of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls and unemployment data

Paolo Greco 06:34 2025-07-04 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for GBP/USD on July 4: The Dollar Rose — and Then Fell Again

The GBP/USD currency pair on Thursday showed nearly identical movements to the EUR/USD pair. This is not surprising, as over the last five months it's not the euro

Paolo Greco 03:56 2025-07-04 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USD on July 4: U.S. Independence Day

The EUR/USD currency pair traded quite expressively on Thursday. For most of the day, we observed a low-volatility sideways movement, and as soon as U.S. labor market and unemployment data

Paolo Greco 03:56 2025-07-04 UTC+2

GBP/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on July 3rd (Review of Morning Trades)

In my morning forecast, I focused on the 1.3659 level and planned to make trading decisions based on it. Let's look at the 5-minute chart and review what happened

Miroslaw Bawulski 15:34 2025-07-03 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Trading Plan for the U.S. Session on July 3rd (Review of Morning Trades)

In my morning forecast, I highlighted the 1.1784 level as the key reference point for market entry. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and analyze what happened there

Miroslaw Bawulski 15:29 2025-07-03 UTC+2

How to Trade the GBP/USD Pair on July 3? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Wednesday's Trades 1H Chart of GBP/USD On Wednesday, the GBP/USD pair plunged like a stone dropped from a skyscraper, prompting currency analysts to immediately search for the reasons

Paolo Greco 06:53 2025-07-03 UTC+2

How to Trade the EUR/USD Pair on July 3? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners

Analysis of Wednesday's Trades 1H Chart of EUR/USD On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair attempted to begin a new round of downward correction, and the result of this attempt

Paolo Greco 06:33 2025-07-03 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for GBP/USD on July 3: Manipulation for the Sake of a New Rally?

On Wednesday, the GBP/USD currency pair crashed for no apparent reason. There was no major news in either the UK or the US that could have triggered a nearly 200-point

Paolo Greco 03:45 2025-07-03 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USD on July 3: The Euro Holds Up, the Pound Plunges

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair declined slightly but generally showed no inclination to follow the British pound, which had crashed by nearly 200 points. The euro remained above

Paolo Greco 03:45 2025-07-03 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.