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30.11.2023 10:55 AM
EUR/USD and GBP/USD: Technical analysis for November 30

EUR/USD

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Higher Timeframes

Bullish players went to test the first target of the daily target (1.1004) yesterday but failed to go for a breakout. The pair returned to the attraction and influence zone of the final level of the death cross of the weekly Ichimoku cloud (1.0960). Confirmation and development of the rebound will lead to the cessation of the daily trend and the formation of a full-fledged downward correction. The nearest support on this path is located today at 1.0936 (daily short-term trend), and further attention will be on the consolidation of monthly and weekly levels in the range of 1.0868–62.

If, however, bulls restore their positions, rebounding from the support of 1.0960, their main task in this market segment will be the complete development of the daily target for a breakout of the daily cloud (1.1065).

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H4 – H1

On lower timeframes, the pair has been in a corrective decline for a long time. Bulls lost the central pivot point; nevertheless, the main advantage remains on their side since the weekly long-term trend (1.0950) continues to play the role of key support. This level is reinforced by the weekly Fibonacci Kijun (1.0960), so the breakout and reversal of the moving average will be of significant importance and confirmation on higher timeframes. Other intraday reference points today can be noted at 1.0947 – 1.0926 – 1.0890 (supports) and 1.1004 – 1.1040 – 1.1061 (resistances) of classic pivot points.

***

GBP/USD

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Higher Timeframes

During the testing of encountered resistances at 1.2738 – 1.2719, the pound formed a daily candle of uncertainty yesterday, indicating the uncertainty of bullish players. If bulls can change the current sentiment, then a breakout of 1.2719–38 (final level of the weekly death cross + the first target orientation) will open the way to a 100% achievement of the target for breaking through the daily cloud (1.2816). If bearish sentiments prevail, the most immediate and significant support today is located at 1.2588 – 1.2589 (daily short-term trend + weekly medium-term trend).

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H4 – H1

On lower timeframes, the pair is currently trading in the correction zone, and for a long time, the situation has depended on the attraction of the central pivot point of the day (1.2695). In case of bullish activity, the intraday resistances today will be the resistances of classic pivot points (1.2727 – 1.2764 – 1.2796). If the opponent takes the initiative, their forces will likely be directed towards capturing the weekly long-term trend (1.2624), which is responsible for the current balance of power. Intermediate support on this path may be provided by S1 (1.2658).

***

The technical analysis of the situation uses:

Higher timeframes - Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (9.26.52) + Fibonacci Kijun levels

Lower timeframes - H1 - Pivot Points (classic) + Moving Average 120 (weekly long-term trend)

Evangelos Poulakis,
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