empty
28.12.2022 01:53 PM
U.S. Stock Market Analysis on 27th December and 23rd December Post Market Review

U.S. markets are closed on Monday in observance of Christmas Day, which falls on Sunday. U.S. indices were up on Friday, while the inflation data released on Friday is being accessed as the market diverges in outlook vs the Fed. The Dow Jones was up 0.53% to 33,203.93, the S&P500 rose 0.59% to 3,844.82, and the NASDAQ was up 0.21% to 10,497.86. At the same time, oil prices jumped.

Notable News

  • China to scrap Covid quarantine rule for inbound travelers from Jan 8
  • US Core PCE Price Index +0.2% M/M, matching estimates; Consumer spending stagnated at +0.1% M/M - weakest since Jul-22 and below 0.2% forecast
  • Uni of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 59.7, up from Oct's 56.8, helped by easing inflation pressures
  • US new home sales unexpected rose for second month
  • BOJ's Kuroda dismisses near-term chance of exiting easy policy

What To Watch This Week

  • Japan - Unemployment, Retail Sales (Tuesday), Industrial Production (Wednesday)
  • China - Industrial Profits (Tuesday), Manufacturing PMI (Saturday)
  • US - Goods Trade Balance, Retail Inventories (27th), Pending Home Sales (Wednesday), Initial Jobless Claims (Thursday)
  • UK - Nationwide Housing Pries (Friday)
  • At home, PPI (Thursday), Money Supply (Friday) are due

Long-term view on market and 2023 outlook:

In general, investors are still concerned about the market outlook and the fears are increasing. The economic recession seems inevitable, as major monetary authorities are determined to continue to battle high inflation. In my view, monetary policy will turn accommodative as inflation trends down. Growth pressures still weigh on developed markets' equity in 1Q 2023, but a turn in monetary policy will provide liquidity support to asset prices. Consensus expects interest rates to peak around 5.0% in the middle of 2023, which indicates it is closer to the end of the hiking cycle. I remain cautious on U.S. equities into 1Q 2023, and I believe the market will be more positive as markets bottom out in 2Q 2023.

27th December trading analysis

S&P 500 daily chart:

This image is no longer relevant

The S&P 500 index finished higher in a turbulent pre-holiday session Friday, as an inflation report and a slew of other data did nothing to change views that the Federal Reserve would likely keep raising interest rates even if the economy slowed. From the daily chart, the price is hovering between $3,784 support level and $3,947 resistance level. It is crucial to continue to watch the price movement in these few days to see whether the bull traders will successfully break through the $3,947 resistance level and push it to the next support level at around $4,072, or the bear traders will pull the price to the $3,784 support line and continue fall to the $3,662 support line. Traders may find an opportunity to trade between $3,784 and $3,947 as the index already traded in this range for a few days. Nonetheless, given the Fed would likely continue to raise the interest rate and the index is still trading below its 10MA and 50MA lines, I suggest traders remain cautious.

InstaForex Analyst,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
选择时间框架
5
分钟
15
分钟
30
分钟
1
小时
4
小时
1
1
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

美元/日圓。分析與預測

該貨幣對持續橫向整理的價格走勢,交易中無重大變化。 從技術角度來看,若能持續站穩在心理關口145.00以上並且出現明確上升,將確認從多周的交易區間中突破,形成多頭走勢。

Irina Yanina 20:41 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日歐元/美元預測

週一,歐元兌美元 (EUR/USD) 貨幣對持續上行,並在 100.0% 回調位 1.1574 之上盤整,但之後未能繼續上升。如果收盤低於 1.1574 水準,將可能下跌至 76.4% 回調位 1.1454。

Samir Klishi 12:00 2025-06-17 UTC+2

外匯預測 2025/06/17:EUR/USD、USD/JPY、NZD/USD、SP500 和比特幣

實用連結: 我的其他文章可在此部分查看 InstaForex 初學者課程 熱門分析 開設交易帳戶 重要提示: 外匯交易初學者在決定進入市場時需要非常謹慎。在重要報告發布前,最好避免進入市場,以免因波動性增加而遭受劇烈市場波動。

Sebastian Seliga 10:46 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日 英鎊/美元匯率預測

在小時圖中,週一英鎊/美元組合再次攀升至1.3611–1.3633的阻力區,從該區反彈並回轉支撐美元。這並不是一個對美元有利的發展,因為目前很少有人相信美元會有強勁的反彈。

Samir Klishi 10:18 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日星期二,英鎊/日元跨貨幣對日內價格波動的技術分析

如果我們查看4小時圖,GBP/JPY交叉貨幣對顯示出看漲的偏向,這是由其價格走勢在上升的看漲通道中移動並高於WMA(21)所證實的,該均線也呈上升趨勢。然而,考慮到隨機震盪指標(Stochastic Oscillator)目前處於超買區域,這表明近期可能會有修正性走弱的潛力。

Arief Makmur 06:38 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日,星期二,黃金商品工具的日內價格走勢技術分析

在4小時圖中,黃金商品工具顯示出黃金價格走勢與隨機指標之間存在背離,這表明近期黃金有可能走弱,以測試3378.89的水平。如果成功突破並收盤於此水平之下,那麼黃金有可能繼續走弱回到3319.20-3295.12的區域作為其主要目標,並且如果弱勢的波動性和動量支持,則3181.31有潛力成為下一個目標。

Arief Makmur 06:38 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日 歐元/美元匯率預測

儘管面臨地緣政治風險,歐元仍展現出強勁的韌性,但這並不是孤軍奮戰。歐元的強勢得到油價和股市技術性調整的支持,這一情況與2003年美伊戰爭初期所見的相關性相似。

Laurie Bailey 04:51 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日英鎊/美元匯率預測

英鎊在日線圖上逐漸被MACD線和1.3635的阻力位壓縮。現在的關鍵問題是:未來幾天價格將向哪個方向突破? Marlin振盪指標測試其通道下邊界,增加了向上突破的可能性。

Laurie Bailey 04:48 2025-06-17 UTC+2

2025年6月17日澳元/美元預測

澳元已經連續八個交易日穩定在上升價格通道線0.6550附近。Marlin振盪指標則自5月28日以來一直穩定在零線之上。

Laurie Bailey 04:48 2025-06-17 UTC+2

XAU/USD 分析與預測

黃金目前保持日內損失。股市的整體樂觀情緒削弱了黃金的需求。

Irina Yanina 12:18 2025-06-16 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.